The results
Key headline results and outcomes of the Regenerative Twin
When seen through the lens of climate change mitigation, a regenerative approach shows that greater gains are available than previously thought, by introducing a goal for nature and people to thrive rather than simply reducing carbon emissions.
Insurability
In collaboration with insurance market stakeholders, we modelled three future loss scenarios, due to water damage, mould and fire damage respectively.
A regenerative approach without insurance market engagement increases the risk profile of the project to the market. However, with early engagement and mitigation measures in place, it is possible to significantly reduce the cost of reinstatement if something goes wrong, helping insurers improve the sustainability of their portfolio. For example, we identified these mitigation measures:
Focusing on material resilience over lowest up front impact,
Following the Mass Timber Insurance Playbook principles for all natural materials,
Early installation of leak detection and cavity ventilation monitoring,
Layered building design, where each material can be taken apart section by section and reinstated, and
Procuring local materials.
Climate risk modelling
To assess the physical and transitional risks of the changing climate on the site in Wales, the team collectively brainstormed and prioritised risks, identifying the following with the greatest likelihood and severity:
Insurability – which led to the extended market engagement
Increased temperatures and heatwaves – which resulted in additional overheating analysis
Mass migration – The Institute for Economics and Peace, an international thinktank, has predicted that by 2050, 1.2 billion people could be displaced globally due to climate change – and therefore we considered future change of use or extension, and additional community use.
Social Value does not only consist of the private sector’s obligations under the Social Value Act, but also how the built environment benefits communities, both in the supply chains that provide materials and labour to construct it, and also how it serves a place over its operational life. The following outcomes were specifically identified as a result of the regenerative design choices made on the project:
Community Investment – additional asset uses, community ownership model
Employment – new jobs, new industry, new related business, new skills
Education – improved learning environment, innovative approaches, understanding of ‘green’ skills, increased critical thinking faculty
Health – physical and mental health improvements, social inclusion, improved air quality, increased access to nature
Natural resources – increased biodiversity, use of local timber, regenerative materials – low or no carbon impact, accessible growing spaces
An unexpected outcome of the Regenerative Twin project was the creation of Sitka, the Amazing Timber Tree children’s book.
The book shares the story of Sitka the Spruce, as he makes the journey from the forest into the classroom and beyond, promoting to young learners that timber can provide society with a positive and regenerative resource.
We worked in partnership with organisation Tales from Mother Earth, who write and illustrate informative stories for young children to re-engage with the natural world. This enables them to find out more about habitat preservation, biodiversity and the things they can do to act on climate change. The book also includes activities, such as fun facts, crosswords and colouring in pages.
The book was launched on World Environment Day in 2024 and has been shared across numerous children’s classrooms.
Because of this, a number of metrics were either not achieved or not quantified, and therefore require further exploration. They included:
Reducing the land consumption of renewable products. For example the material specification consumed a forested area of 46x the Gross Internal Floor Area (GIFA), which was 50% higher than our target which was 30x GIFA.
Whole life carbon including circularity benefits remained above zero, despite all efforts to balance carbon storage with carbon emissions over the life of the building.
Water consumption associated with material manufacture, which despite significant reductions still takes up more than 60% of our 60-year allowance.
Natural capital and social outcomes
The increase or decrease in access to nature
The economic value from mainstreaming novel nature-based or regenerative materials
Embodied social value
In addition, a clear next step is the simplification of metrics and indicators to enable the mainstream construction market to engage with regenerative principles.
Procurement… bring all stakeholders together including the community as soon as possible
Partisanism… establish behaviours and an agreed purpose / vision before RIBA Stage 2.
Short-termism… be open to a longer-term value proposition
How we value risk… engage with the insurance market early, and conduct future climate risk analysis
How we value the supply chain’s role as agents for change… engage with the supply chain early
Detachment of social and environmental outcomes… have a plan to ensure a just (fair and inclusive) transition to a more regenerative outcome